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LESOTHO VISION 2020: THE WAY FORWARD
In pursuance of a policy decision by
Government to formulate a national vision to the year 2020,
various stakeholders, including the civil service, academia
and business sector were once again brought together at the
National Convention Centre…
Most developing countries, especially those at an embryonic
stage of economic development have embarked on formulating
national visions that represent their long –term plans. It
is, thus, believed that formulation of these long-term
development plans will result in both sustainable economic
growth and development. Malaysia, Ghana, Uganda and Malawi
are amongst those developing nations in the process of
formulating their own visions into the year 2020. Similarly,
in the year 2000, Lesotho took a policy decision to
formulate a National Vision 2020 aimed at providing a
long-term perspective within which short to medium-term
plans could be made. Subsequent to the National Dialogue
held in 2000, whereby the Vision statement was agreed upon,
a Lesotho Vision 2020 document was compiled through a
participatory approach. The Vision document was officially
accepted as a representation of the developmental
aspirations of Basotho in 2004. Therefore, it is important
to review the main components of 2020, highlight some of its
strengths and weaknesses, and provide some recommendations.
Lesotho Vision
2020
At the first National Dialogue held in 2000, more than five
hundred key stakeholders from various sectors of the economy
participated and came up with the following vision statement:
“By the year 2020, Lesotho shall be a stable democracy, a
united and prosperous nation at peace with itself and its
neighbours. It shall have a healthy and well-developed human
resource base. Its economy will be strong, its environment
well managed and its technology well established.”
Description of
the Vision
A Stable Democracy
It is envisaged that by the year 2020, Lesotho shall be a
stable democracy where the principles of good governance
will be anchored on the respect for human rights, the rule
of law, political openness, political participation and
tolerance. This form of governance will be based on five
pillars of democracy that encompass: supremacy of the will
of people, transparency, a devoted and efficient public
service, justice for all and efficient chieftainship.
A Nation at Peace with itself and its Neighbours
According to the National Vision 2020, it is also envisaged
that Basotho shall be a united nation with cherished norms
and values that will enhance a sense of belonging, identity,
and pride in every Mosotho. In addition, Basotho will share
common goals based on their cultural heritage. They will
also continue to show respect for their national symbols
such as the national anthem and flag. Lesotho will be
characterised by sustained political stability, political
tolerance and, peaceful political contestations. And Lesotho
shall be a peaceful nation living in harmony with its
neighbours.
A Healthy and Well Developed Human Resource Base
It is further envisaged that Basotho shall be a healthy
nation with a well-developed human resource base. The
country will have a good quality health system with
facilities and infrastructure accessible and affordable to
all Basotho, irrespective of income, disabilities, and
geographical location and wealth. Health personnel will
provide quality health service and patient care. All Basotho
will be conscious of healthy lifestyles and will engage in
sporting and recreational activities. There shall be no new
HIV/AIDS infections.
A Strong Economy and Prosperous Nation
It is envisaged that Lesotho shall be known for the good
economic policy that will render the country prosperous for
many centuries to come. Its vibrant economy with a strong
industrial base will fully exploit the potential for locally
available natural resources. All the citizens will enjoy the
benefits that will accrue from utilising the natural assets
such as water, sandstone and other minerals. The products of
the country will compete well in international markets.
Productivity too will be enhanced to world standards.
Opportunities for full employment will be abundant, and
Lesotho will be a magnet retaining its people to jobs in the
country. The country will in addition have well-developed
entrepreneurial culture.
Lesotho will network and collaborate with other countries in
trade, investment and economic advancement in general. The
financial intermediation will be diverse and highly
responsive to customer demands and needs. Access to credit
and good loan management and repayment mechanisms will be
the cornerstones for development and promotion of the Small
Medium Micro Enterprises (SMME) and informal sectors.
A Well Managed Environment
By the year 2020,
Lesotho shall be renowned for its environmental management.
The country’s diversity of life systems will be supported
and protected by a nation which is environmentally conscious
and whose people are in balanced existence with the natural
environment. Basotho will be empowered in designing and
managing biodiversity conservation projects relevant to
their own communities. Environmental education will be
integrated at all levels of learning. There will be
institutional and legal frameworks to promote and protect a
healthy and sustainable environment. Every development in
the country will be subjected to an intensive environmental
impact assessment to gauge its environmental friendliness.
A Well Advanced Technology
By the year 2020, Lesotho will have solid foundation for
technological research and development. The school curricula
shall be strong in science and technology, which will lead
to increased enrolment in sciences and technical programmes.
The nation will expand its usage of applied technology in
all aspects of life. Ninety percent of Basotho will have
access to electricity and telephones, thereby to
communication and development technology.
Strengths of the Vision
Vision 2020 is one of the most comprehensive and integrated
long-term national development frameworks. The Vision covers
virtually all sectors of the economy to make it sustainable
(e.g. economic, social and political). In assessing the
development prospects of Lesotho in the long-term, the
Vision provides for the environment within which the
development process will evolve in the future and possible
scenarios. It further provides for several strategy actions
and steps to be undertaken by different stakeholders in
achieving the ultimate objectives. It is consistent with
some of the development programmes that the nation has
already embarked on, such as the Poverty Reduction Strategy
Paper (PRSP). It is going to build on the foundation that
has already been laid by the PRSP and other short-term
programmes
Weaknesses of the Vision
Nonetheless, the aspirations outlined in the Vision are
deficient in some regards. Some of those weaknesses have
been outlined as follows;
·
The concept of implementing the development programmes
within the framework of long term is relatively new, as the
previous development planning efforts were either short or
medium term. Furthermore, previous development plans were
not fully implemented over their intended timeframes i.e.
due mainly to unforeseen problems. It may therefore be
necessary to improve the country’s projects’ implementation
capacity.
·
The Vision 2020 document highlighted the development
strategic challenges to be undertaken. However, there is a
need to explore further options available to achieve the set
objective. For instance, in the Vision document it is
indicated that one of the challenges to achieving a strong
economy will be through exploring alternative sources of
revenue and creating job opportunities to absorb the labour
force. In order to achieve this objectives a detailed
analysis of how best to increase revenue, and understanding
the alternative options to reduce unemployment in Lesotho is
essential.
·
The vision put more emphasis on social and political issues
and less on the economy. For instance, the financial sector
is currently under-developed. The number of financial
institutions and their instruments are limited. Access to
credit and financial services is also very limited.
Alternative approaches to addressing the challenges should
have been highlighted.
It appears that majority of the nation is aware that there
is Vision 2020; however, there is need to disseminate the
information to the general public, highlighting their role
in the implementation of the vision. Therefore, for
enhanced-shared vision more education campaigns or workshops
are encouraged to inform the entire community.
Conclusions and Recommendations
Although the Lesotho-Vision 2020 is comprehensive and
addresses the key concerns of the nation, certain areas of
the Vision statement still have to be revisited or rather
polished. The Vision should have discussed some of the
bottlenecks to economic growth and try to come up with the
solutions to such deficiencies. To develop the financial
sector, more depository corporations should be established
and a wider range of financial instruments be encouraged.
Some lessons can also be learned from the three-year PRGF
programme entered into by the GoL in consultation with the
International Monetary Fund (IMF). The country can consider
the reasons that led to failure to achieve some structural
benchmarks such as the civil service, agricultural reforms
and the trade policy. The Vision should also be reviewed
frequently in line with some of short or medium term
programmes to ensure that there is progress. Last, since the
Vision will require a lot of funds to finance its
implementation, monitoring and enforcement, the Government
should seek concessional external financing. In addition,
the country can seek funding available under the Millennium
Challenge Account (MCA), as Lesotho has just been approved
eligible for funding.
Table 1.
Monetary and Financial Indicators+
|
|
April |
May |
June |
|
1. Interest rates (Percent Per Annum) |
|
|
|
|
1.1 Prime Lending rate |
12.5 |
12.5 |
12.5 |
|
1.2 Prime Lending rate in RSA |
11.5 |
11.5 |
11.5 |
|
1.3 Savings Deposit Rate |
2.31 |
2.31 |
2.31 |
|
1.4 Interest rate Margin (1.1 –
1.3) |
10.19 |
10.19 |
10.19 |
|
1.5 Treasury Bill Yield
(91-day) |
9.21 |
9.36 |
8.80 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. Monetary Indicators (Million
Maloti) |
|
|
|
|
2.1 Broad Money (M2)
|
2225.5 |
2294.0 |
2353.47 |
|
2.2 Net Claims on Government by
the Banking System |
-786.7 |
-693.6 |
-539.52 |
|
2.3 Net Foreign Assets –
Banking System |
4090.6 |
3962.7 |
3858.72 |
|
2.4 CBL Net Foreign Assets |
3267.0 |
3070.6 |
2831.31 |
|
2.5 Domestic Credit |
-186.1 |
-89.6 |
73.98 |
|
2.6 Reserve Money |
324.1 |
326.2 |
289.522 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. Spot Loti/US$ Exchange Rate
(monthly average) |
6.5920 |
6.7844 |
6.4476 |
|
|
|
4. External Sector (Million Maloti) |
2003
|
2004
|
Q4
|
Q1
|
Q2
|
|
4.1 Current Account Balance |
-299.8 |
-193.2 |
-161.64 |
|
4.2 Capital and Financial
Account Balance |
320.0 |
-23.5 |
181.73 |
|
4.3 Reserves Assets |
-156.6 |
257.5 |
-251.39 |
Table 2.
Selected Economic Indicators
|
|
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
|
1. Output Growth( Percent) |
|
|
|
|
|
1.1 Gross Domestic Product – GDP |
1.3 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
|
1.2 Gross Domestic Product
Excluding LHWP |
0.0 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
|
1.3 Gross National Product – GNP |
-3.2 |
0.2 |
1.6 |
6.3 |
|
1.4 Per capita –GNP |
-5.2 |
-1.9 |
-0.4 |
4.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. Sectoral Growth Rates |
|
|
|
|
|
2.1 Agriculture |
2.8 |
0.5 |
-4.2 |
-1.9 |
|
2.2 Manufacturing |
4.4 |
7.8 |
6.9 |
5.2 |
|
2.3 Construction |
9.7 |
1.4 |
6.9 |
4.3 |
|
2.4 Services |
-0.9 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
4.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. External Sector – Percent of GNP
Excluding LHWP |
|
|
|
|
|
3.1 Imports of Goods |
-64.384 |
-68.180 |
-82.797 |
-74.519 |
|
3.2 Current Account |
-21.262 |
-17.436 |
-24.466 |
-21.112 |
|
3.3 Official Reserves ( Months of
Imports) |
8.9 |
11.7 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
|
|
|
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