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The New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD):
Lesotho Chapter
The Lesotho NEPAD Chapter was officially launched by the
Right Honourable the Prime Minister, Mr Pakalitha B.
Mosisili on 30 August 2004
Background
NEPAD is a socio-economic program of the African Union. This
represents expression of will and determination of African
leadership to steer Africa to higher levels of sustainable
development, and steer towards poverty reduction and
minimise marginalization from the global economy. The
program highlights renewal, underpinned by the energizing
and revitalization of development institutions.
The international community and social partners have already
accepted NEPAD framework as a basis for cooperation with
Africa, since the last three years when it was adopted as
socio-economic renewal programme for Africa. Partners
include among others Global Environment Facility (GEF), the
World Bank, the African Development Bank, FAO, Forum for
Agricultural Research in Africa (FARA), and the Consultative
Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR).
Primary
objectives of NEPAD include among others:
1. To
eradicate poverty
2. To
place African Countries, both individually and collectively,
on a path of sustainable growth and development.
3. To
halt the marginalisation of Africa in the globalisation
process and enhance its full and beneficial integration into
the global economy
4. To
accelerate the empowerment of women
NEPAD Priorities are subdivided into three categories,
namely:
a)
Establishing the conditions for sustainable development by
ensuring
·
Peace and security
·
Democracy and good political, economic and corporate
governance
·
Regional co-operation and integration
Capacity building
b)
Policy reforms and increased investment
· Agriculture
· Human
development with a focus on health, education, science and
technology and skills development
· Building
and improving infrastructure, including information and
communication technology (ICT), energy, transport, water and
sanitation
· Promoting
diversification of production and exports, particularly with
respect to agro-industries, manufacturing, mining, mineral
beneficiation and tourism
· Accelerating
intra-African trade and improving access to markets of
developed countries
· The
environment
c)
Mobilising Resources
·
Increasing domestic savings and investments
·
Improving management of public revenue and expenditure
·
Improving Africa’s share in global trade
·
Attracting foreign direct investment
·
Increasing capital flows through further debt reduction and
increase
Building Blocks on program implementation
NEPAD building block is based on the role and responsibility
of the Regional Economic Communities (RECs) which have to
establish capacity building requirements and mobilize
assistance to develop necessary countries’ own capacity and
repositioning. Further it is expected that this unit will
establish effective systems to harmonize, coordinate, ensure
complimentarity of national policies, monitor and evaluate
implementation of NEPAD/REC programs by member countries and
designated agencies, and advise the REC leadership on the
status of the program and any reviews that may need to be
implemented. REC is further expected to be a facilitator in
the involvement of private sector and civil society in the
participation of regional programs.
NEPAD
Linkages with National Objectives
Lesotho has experienced positive growth over the years, from
a per capita GDP growth of -9 percent in 1998 to 1.1 percent
in 2003, and GDP growth of 3.3 in 2003. This positive growth
has been underpinned by development efforts under (AGOA,
SACU, CMA, SADC, ACP-EU, WTO and recently NEPAD). There are
two main sources of growth in the economy, textile
production and construction-mainly in LHDA and government
expenditure in construction. Consequently high performance
sectors in employment are manufacturing with about 55 000
people and government with about 36 000 employees and mining
in South Africa with about 60 000 Basotho.
Compatibility
of National policy stance with NEPAD
1. The Vision 2020 objectives are consistent with the NEPAD
objective: And highlight building a strong economy, by
building a proper infrastructure including roads,
telecommunications and electricity networks.
2. The priority areas under the PRSP are compatible with
NEPAD, which are set to provide a broad based improvement in
the standard of welfare for the current generation of
Basotho, without compromising opportunities for future
generations.
National objectives |
NEPAD |
|
1. Stable democracy and united nation
2. Strong economy |
1. Peace and security
2. Improve African position and market access and debt
relief |
Development
Challenges to Lesotho
Despite promises that are offered by Lesotho Involvement in
NEPAD, there are still serious problems that confront
Lesotho, and challenge its capacity to provide for the
welfare of its people.
-
An increase in the Incidence of Poverty- the Core Welfare
Indicator study showed that in 2002 there were more rural
poor compared to previous periods when households are
judged by the assets they own.
-
High levels of unemployment-There is limited capacity for
the economy to generate formal employment and as such
there is a challenge to exhaust means to expand national
employment
-
The Rapid spread of HIV and AIDS-if the results of the
impact of HIV/AIDS are taken into account, expectation is
that the Lesotho Human Development Index will decline
further. Lesotho was ranked 120 out of 162 countries in
1999. And ranked 132 out of 173 countries in 2000, and to
137 out of 175 in 2001.
-
Worsening famine, precipitated by unfavourable weather
conditions.
The Way Forward
The process of launching the NEPAD chapter in
Lesotho paves way for the development of national
implementation framework, which will include the National
Vision 2020 and the PRSP paper as its building blocks. It is
expected that the framework will enhance Lesotho’s chance to
reap the full benefits offered by NEPAD.
The benefits can be wholly realised if the process of
establishing a national framework is inclusive of relevant
stakeholders in its design. Lesotho has one of the greatest
informal sector, which also plays a pivotal role in the
economic wellbeing of those involved in it. The important
consideration is to design targeted policies to assist the
sector to access funding and creation of market for their
products.
The other related challenge is the mechanism to establish a
cohort of local businesses in the sectors that seem to be
dominated by foreigners. The manufacturing sector, and in
particular the textile and clothing industry can be a case
in point. This presents an apparent risk when Lesotho start
to fall out of favour with foreign investors, and they
choose to relocate to other favourable countries. The
apparent shock can be cushioned by creating assistance to
local business owners into the sector. One way can be an
establishment of a pool fund where Basotho who express
interest in the sector can borrow as start-up capital, with
an obligation to repay.
Finally, the country faces a challenge of establishing
macro-micro linkages in the fight against poverty. The focus
of most least developed countries, developing countries, and
transition economies is to fight poverty from a
macroeconomic management view point, There is however no
clear link on how macroeconomic variables can be used to
improve the livelihood of the poorest people. The observed
limitation of most programmes is that they fail to
understand individual country macroeconomic environment, and
as a result programmes fail to yield expected output.
Lesotho is no exception to this incidence.
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Immediate Challenges: Oil price crises
Estimates show that from January to August 2004, oil prices
have increased by about 30 percent. And on year-on-year
world oil demand growth has also increased consistently. The
regional and national oil demand growth trends still show an
upward movement, it is expected that growth in prices will
range from 2.15 to 2.65 by August 2005. In annual terms it
gives about 2.7 to 3.3 percent based on current demand rate
of around 82.3 Mbd.
The reasons for the trends are mainly around the
uncertainties surrounding the war in Iraq, and the ever
growing threat to Russia as one of the important suppliers.
The US election expectation and outcome does not seem to
have much influence compared to the threat to world GDP
growth, of attacks on oil productions, transport and
refining installations in Saudi Arabia, Russian and Iraq.
These international developments are of immediate policy
concern for least developed, developing countries and
transition economies, especially those that import 100
percent of their oil needs. An increase in a general price
level feeds directly into the domestic inflation rate, as
production become costly there is an expectation that
general prices will increase, and erodes the buying power of
consumers. There is also a further potential threat as the
current forecast of an increase in oil prices can go beyond
the current forecast of August 2005. The foreseeable cushion
to this threat is to encourage consumers to save more, so
that when prices increase their buying power is maintained.
NB:
This report is benefited by
www.nepad.org,
www.lesotho.gov.ls
and Venezuela Electronic News.
Table 1.
Monetary and Financial Indicators
|
|
June |
July |
August |
|
1. Interest rates (Percent Per Annum) |
|
|
|
|
1.1 Prime Lending rate |
12.5 |
12.5 |
12.42 |
|
1.2 Prime Lending rate in RSA |
11.5 |
11.5 |
11.00 |
|
1.3 Savings Deposit Rate |
2.31 |
2.31 |
1.49 |
|
1.4 Interest rate Margin (1.1 –
1.3) |
10.19 |
10.19 |
10.93 |
|
1.5 Treasury Bill Yield
(91-day) |
9.31 |
9.27 |
8.91 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. Monetary Indicators (Million
Maloti) |
|
|
|
|
2.1 Broad Money (M2)
|
2353.47 |
2424.2 |
2448.60 |
|
2.2 Net Claims on Government by
the Banking System |
-539.52 |
-552.4 |
-696.38 |
|
2.3 Net Foreign Assets –
Banking System |
3858.72 |
4031.3 |
3973.33 |
|
2.4 CBL Net Foreign Assets |
2831.31 |
2911.5 |
2877.35 |
|
2.5 Domestic Credit |
73.98 |
60.58 |
18.32 |
|
2.6 Reserve Money |
289.522 |
356.4 |
330.51 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. Spot Loti/US$ Exchange Rate
(monthly average) |
6.4476 |
6.2050 |
6.6793 |
|
|
|
|
2003
|
2004
|
|
|
Q4 |
Q1 |
Q2 |
|
4.1 Current Account Balance |
-299.8 |
-193.2 |
-161.64 |
|
4.2 Capital and Financial
Account Balance |
320.0 |
-23.5 |
181.73 |
|
4.3 Reserve Assets |
-156.6 |
257.5 |
-251.39 |
Table
2. Selected Economic Indicators
|
|
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
|
1. Output Growth( Percent) |
|
|
|
|
|
1.1 Gross Domestic Product – GDP |
1.3 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
|
1.2 Gross Domestic Product
Excluding LHWP |
0.0 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
|
1.3 Gross National Product – GNP |
-3.2 |
0.2 |
1.6 |
6.3 |
|
1.4 Per capita –GNP |
-5.2 |
-1.9 |
-0.4 |
4.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. Sectoral Growth Rates (1995
constant prices) |
|
|
|
|
|
2.1 Agriculture |
2.8 |
0.5 |
-4.2 |
-1.9 |
|
2.2 Manufacturing |
4.4 |
7.8 |
6.9 |
5.2 |
|
2.3 Construction |
9.7 |
1.4 |
6.9 |
4.3 |
|
2.4 Services |
-0.9 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
4.4 |
|
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